10 Tips to Become a Boxing Betting
“The weak or the strong, who got it going on, you’re Dead Wrong.”- Biggie
Ladies and gentlemen it is common knowledge that the legendary columnist known as: “KING J” is a guru when it comes to predicting the correct winner of boxing fights. This year alone he holds a perfect record of 6-0 for the year of 2009.
Now King J is only human so he has had his share of misses in the past and will surely have some more in the future but this article is about what has worked and what “generally” has lead King J to be so successful in the past with his boxing predictions.
King J, being the people’s champion that he is, will share with all of you the: 10 Clues To Become A Boxing Betting Guru.
No. 1: Prime. Which fighter is more so in their prime? A fighter’s prime often is correlated with their age. Not their traditional age of how many years they have been on this planet, but more so how many years have they been in a ring.
Do they still have their speed? Legs? Stamina? Reflexes? Accuracy? Timing? Etc? How much mileage do they have? How much do they still have left in the tank. Yes generally speaking a brand new Maserati will smoke a 1981 Delorean.
No. 2: Hunger. Which fighter is more hungry? Generally speaking the more hungrier fighter usually has more heart, determination, and the will to dig down deep into the pits of hell to pull off the win.
Many considered the great Julio Cesar Chavez the hungrier fighter when he defeated Meldrick Taylor in their legendary epic battle.
A lot of these fighters come from the most rough poor streets and third world nations, but once they start making millions in fight purses and endorsements many of them lose that hunger and it begins to show in their performance in the ring much like Oscar De La Hoya did post Trinidad.
No. 3: Track Record. Which fighter has the better track record? Not only which fighter has more wins, KO’s, and fewer losses than the other, but which fighter has fought the more legit competitive opponents.
Which fighter fought the top ranked champions and big names, and legitimate threats and how did they handle them? Generally speaking a fighter with a weak resume, padded records against only their native land’s opponents usually gets exposed in more ways than one come fight night.
No. 4: War Damage. Which fighter has more war damage? Generally speaking the fighter who has been in one too many wars usually is not their self come fight night. Fighters such as Jose Luis Castillo, who stood toe to toe in so many exciting wars often becomes damaged goods by the time they face a Ricky Hatton come fight night.
No. 5: Camp. Which fighter had the better training camp. Did they hit their target weight goals on time? Did they dominate or struggle in their sparring? Were there significant distractions?
When you hear about Pacquiao destroying his larger stronger sparring partners on a daily basis in training camp and then you hear his opponent is struggling and getting black eyes all of a sudden, rumors of not getting a long with his head trainer, its clear who had the better camp and often the results are devastating.
No. 6: Styles. Which fighter has the better fighting style? You always hear the common phrase that styles make fights and often times that statement holds true.
Certain fighters get thrown off their game plan completely when facing a south paw, or a slick counter puncher, or a pressure fighter who can come at all angles. You must understand both fighters style and how they will most likely pan out once they clash.
No. 7: Last two or three fights. Which fighter looked better in their last two or three fights. I personally like to go by their last two or three fights to see who is more so still currently in their prime? Who dominated more? Who got more hurt?
Generally speaking the more active fighter who fights more frequently usually is more so more prepared both physically and mentally than a fighter who just fights once a year or who keeps retiring and coming back given they both are fighting equal level of opposition.
A lot of fans make the mistake and go back to a fighter’s earlier fight for reference but often times the 22 year old version of the fighter is not the same as the 32 year old version of the fighter so again the last two or two fights is a good gauge for me.
No. 8: Politics/Hometown. What are the politics involved with the fight? Does it involve the networks poster boy? Is this fight nothing more than publicity/build up/title eliminator bout for a super mega fight next? Is the fight taking place in the hometown of one of the fighters?
All of these factors will definitely influence who is the predestined winner of the fight. I remember when De La Hoya fought Sturm to set up the super mega fight with Hopkins. Anyone who knows how to judge a fight knows Oscar lost a decision to Sturm, but when the super mega fight is up next all that justice goes out the window.
Hometown fights often have hometown judges and hometown crowds who win over the decision for fights as well. Think of the larger picture who benefits more from this win? Meaning the parties involved: promoters, networks, endorsements, the sport of boxing.
No. 9: Work Ethic. Which fighter has the better work ethic? Not only in training camp but also between camps as well. Who always eats healthy, stays away from partying, drugs, and drama.
Which fighter balloons up between fights? Drinks and eats up a storm and goes through hell to just to make weight? Fighters like Bernard Hopkins are always running and training even when there is no fight in sight just because they have the better work ethic.
Generally speaking the fighter with the better work ethic usually has their hand raised after the fight is over.
No. 10: Go with your gut. Always trust your gut. How many times have you said to yourself for some reason I know this fighter will win? When everyone else and their mother laughed at you and told you that you do not know a thing about boxing for saying that.
Then of course it turned out that you were absolutely correct. To make matters worse the final odds for the fight were like 10 to 1 in your favor.
Now for some DON’TS When it comes to betting on boxing:
1. Don’t bet on race. Yes its great you are proud of your race and home countrymen. But to just blindly bet on a fighter cause he was born in the same country as you or your parents is just plain dumb and will often times leave you broke.
I remember one of my Mexican-American employees Juan would always bet with other Mexican co-workers on the Pacquiao fights. Juan would always put $100 on Pacquiao and the Mexicans would always bet on Pacquiao’s Mexican opponent with out any logic to it what so ever. You do the math, Juan’s a smart guy.
2. Don’t bet on your heroes. Yes we all have our boxing heroes to the point of where others may call us the term: “nut hugger”. I am a HUGE Roy Jones Jr fan and I will never bet against him even now when he’s 40 years old and a mere shell of the once invincible super man he once was for his whole career.
I thought super man was going to fly back into the ring against Joe Calzaghe that night and he did show up but just for the first round unfortunately. When you bet on your heroes you are again betting blindly with out logic especially when they are way past their primes.
3. Don’t bet with Teddy Atlas. Yes I do admire and am inspired by the great guru Teddy Atlas. But it is so obvious that he intentionally always picks the heavy under dog who usually has no chance in hell on purpose as if to almost guarantee that the opposite will happen each time. So translation bet on the opposite of what Atlas predicts.
4. Don’t bet because you saw something in HBO 24/7. Yes I love HBO 24/7. Its great entertainment. Great exposure for my favorite sport and favorite fighters but thats what it is. Often times the producers of HBO 24/7 shoot their episodes in a manner that makes you believe both of these guys has a great chance of winning when that usually is not the case.
So there it is kids the secret to my success as a Boxing Betting Guru. I am nice enough to share my tips with you and wish you great success as well with your boxing bets.
If you win big because of me then make sure to pay for my hotel room stay and of course the buffets and ring side seats would not hurt also.
To everyone else put your money where your mouth is or close your mouth cause I just like everyone else am sick of all these haters who hate certain fighters so much and talk so much trash but when that fighter wins they act like they did not trash that fighter for the last three months.
I don’t see you putting any money down to back up your talk? In fact I don’t even see you at any of the fights? Seeing a fight is much better live in person than from your mommy’s couch. You should try it some time.
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How to Bet on MMA
So you’re an MMA fan, you get your MMA FIX, and you have a strong opinion on ,who’s going to win the next big fight. Step up and put your money where your mouth is by placing a wager. We believe that because MMA is so new to the betting world, there are great values to be had at nearly every major event. This guide will walk you through the process.
Unlike football and basketball where there are point spreads (ex. -7, +13.5) MMA fights have odds which are called moneylines. A moneyline is basically a way for the sports books to even out the betting public. So for example if Anderson Silva is fighting, a no name guy like Crazy Joe Davola, Silva would be a huge favorite, probably around -440 or so (44 to 1). If there was no moneyline, you could just bet on the favorite every time, and become a millionaire pretty quickly.
So here is an actual example from a UFC fight, which will explain the odds a bit better.
Tito Ortiz (-140)
Rashad Evans (+120)
In this matchup, Tito is the favorite at -140. This means that for every $1.40 you bet, you win $1. So if you were to bet $140 on Tito, you’d win $100 (profit) if he is victorious. Rashad is the underdog in this match at +120. This means that for every $1 you bet, you will win $1.20. So if you bet $100 on Rashad, and he wins, you will win $120 (profit).
The moneylines on MMA fights will often change with the amount of money coming in on each side. If a bunch of money is coming in on one side, the sportsbook will adjust the moneyline to even out the action and get bettors betting on ,the other fighter. With that said, whatever the odds are when you place your bet, is the odds you get. They don’t change like in horse racing.